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Thursday, November 30, 2017

Alabama Poll: Moore +8

By Rick Pearcey • November 30, 2017, 05:01 PM

Matthew Boyle writes from Mobile for Breitbart:

Judge Roy Moore, the GOP nominee for the U.S. Senate here in Alabama, has rebounded and solidified his lead over radical Democrat Doug Jones with less than two weeks of campaigning to go, a new poll provided exclusively to Breitbart News shows.

The poll, conducted by Rick Shaftan of Atlantic Media and Research, shows Moore has picked up five points since the firm's last survey last week -- and that Jones has stagnated exactly where he was before. Moore, now at 48 percent, towers over Jones who is still stuck at 40 percent. The survey's numbers last week, weighted to an expectation of 27 percent black turnout -- an overestimation from what black turnout will likely be -- had Moore at 43 percent and Jones at 40 percent.

Additionally, if the survey data is not weighted for turnout, Shaftan wrote in a polling memo to donors obtained exclusively by Breitbart News, Moore’s lead hits well into the double digits.

It appears that what I wrote November 9 ("Is Roy Moore Finished?") is coming to pass: "Based on what we know, Roy Moore will not step down, and he will be elected U.S. senator from Alabama in some 4 weeks."

Read more from Boyle at Breitbart here.